I always had my eyes on the end game. Political events have borne me out.

Just before the flush of Super Tuesday elections, I e-mailed that the race for the Democratic nomination would be extremely close and that there was no guarantee of a Democratic victory in the general election, regardless of President Bush’s negative ratings. I wrote: “…a significant percentage of voters will not vote on the issues but will vote according to emotional comfort level.” Allowing for the strength of incumbency, my only error was in picking Hillary Clinton to eke out the nomination; however, I also declared that she would not become president.

I am an Ivy League intellectual and internationalist, and Barack Obama is my kind of candidate. Never before have I had the opportunity to vote for a candidate who so closely mirrors me and my beliefs. But Obama is also a generation ahead of his time—according to the U.S. census, twenty years from now, the minority population will achieve majority status in American society. At present, I fear the coalition of liberals/intellectuals/independents/ Millennials/minorities/netizens is not large enough to overcome the silent majority represented by middle America without the addition of crossover voters.

My affiliations are frankly elitist (Cornell, Harvard—Office of the Assistant to the President/Harvard Law School/Harvard Business School/Graduate School of Design/Faculty of Arts and Sciences—Boston; U.S. Department of State, U.S. Census Bureau; ABC News, CNN International, Hearst-Argyle) and I have traveled independently all over the world. However, I grew up in America’s heartland, and I understand the strength of the heartland’s ingrained values.

The election was Barack Obama’s to lose until the evangelical base became energized by the presence of Sarah Palin. Evangelicals are not just religious fundamentalists. They are also people like my neighbors and family friends who believe in God, country, and patriotism. Continue reading Political Predictions from America’s Heartland